Decision Analysis for Management Judgment: Fourth Edition (Wiley)

Decision Analysis for Management Judgment: Fourth Edition (Wiley)


Yazar Paul Goodwin
Yayınevi Wiley
ISBN 9780470714393
Baskı yılı 2009
Sayfa sayısı 470
Ağırlık 0,86 kg
Stok durumu Var   Stok detayları
Kargoya teslim 1 gün

In an increasingly complex world, decision analysis has a major role to play in helping decision-makers to gain insights into the problems they face. Decision Analysis for Management Judgment is unique in its breadth of coverage of decision analysis methods. It covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them. It is presented and explained in a clear, straightforward manner without using mathematical notation. The fourth edition has been fully revised and updated and includes a number of changes to reflect the latest developments in the field.
Foreword by Lawrence D. Phillips
Ch. 1 Introduction 1
Ch. 2 How people make decisions involving multiple objectives 13
Ch. 3 Decisions involving multiple objectives: SMART 31
Ch. 4 Decisions involving multiple objectives: alternatives to SMART 63
Ch. 5 Introduction to probability 93
Ch. 6 Decision-making under uncertainty 115
Ch. 7 Decision trees and influence diagrams 157
Ch. 8 Applying simulation to decision problems 183
Ch. 9 Revising judgments in the light of new information 213
Ch. 10 Heuristics and biases in probability assessment 237
Ch. 11 Methods for eliciting probabilities 267
Ch. 12 Risk and uncertainty management 289
Ch. 13 Decisions involving groups of individuals 301
Ch. 14 Resource allocation and negotiation problems 325
Ch. 15 Decision framing and cognitive inertia 349
Ch. 16 Scenario planning: an alternative way of dealing with uncertainty 369
Ch. 17 Alternative decision-support systems and conclusions 407
Suggested answers to selected questions 439
Index 445

Axess
Axess

Taksit Taksit Tutarı Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim - 248,68 TL
2 ay 124,34 TL 248,68 TL
3 ay 82,89 TL 248,68 TL
6 ay 46,42 TL 278,52 TL
9 ay 32,33 TL 290,95 TL
12 ay 25,49 TL 305,87 TL

cardFinans
cardFinans

Taksit Taksit Tutarı Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim - 248,68 TL
2 ay 124,34 TL 248,68 TL
3 ay 82,89 TL 248,68 TL
6 ay 46,42 TL 278,52 TL
9 ay 32,33 TL 290,95 TL
12 ay 25,49 TL 305,87 TL

Bonus
Bonus

Taksit Taksit Tutarı Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim - 248,68 TL
2 ay 124,34 TL 248,68 TL
3 ay 82,89 TL 248,68 TL
6 ay 46,42 TL 278,52 TL
9 ay 32,33 TL 290,95 TL
12 ay 25,49 TL 305,87 TL

World
World

Taksit Taksit Tutarı Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim - 248,68 TL
2 ay 124,34 TL 248,68 TL
3 ay 82,89 TL 248,68 TL
6 ay 46,42 TL 278,52 TL
9 ay 32,33 TL 290,95 TL
12 ay 25,49 TL 305,87 TL

Maximum
Maximum

Taksit Taksit Tutarı Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim - 248,68 TL
2 ay 124,34 TL 248,68 TL
3 ay 82,89 TL 248,68 TL
6 ay 46,42 TL 278,52 TL
9 ay 32,33 TL 290,95 TL
12 ay 25,49 TL 305,87 TL

Paraf
Paraf

Taksit Taksit Tutarı Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim - 248,68 TL
2 ay 124,34 TL 248,68 TL
3 ay 82,89 TL 248,68 TL
6 ay 46,42 TL 278,52 TL
9 ay 32,33 TL 290,95 TL
12 ay 25,49 TL 305,87 TL

Kredi Kartı (Tek Çekim)
Kredi Kartı (Tek Çekim)

Taksit Taksit Tutarı Toplam Tutar
Peşin - 248,68 TL

Havale/EFT
Havale/EFT

Taksit Taksit Tutarı Toplam Tutar
Peşin - 241,22 TL

Bonus, Maximum, Paraf, Cardfinans, Axess ve World özelliği olan tüm kartlar ile ödeme yapılabilir.