Decision Analysis for Management Judgment: Fourth Edition (Wiley)

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Decision Analysis for Management Judgment: Fourth Edition (Wiley)

Yazar	: Paul Goodwin
Yayınevi	: Wiley
ISBN	: 9780470714393
Baskı yılı	: 2009
Sayfa sayısı	: 470
Ağırlık	: 0.86 kg
Stok durumu	: Var Stok detayları
Kargoya teslim	: Aynı gün kargo

In an increasingly complex world, decision analysis has a major role to play in helping decision-makers to gain insights into the problems they face. Decision Analysis for Management Judgment is unique in its breadth of coverage of decision analysis methods. It covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them. It is presented and explained in a clear, straightforward manner without using mathematical notation. The fourth edition has been fully revised and updated and includes a number of changes to reflect the latest developments in the field.

	Foreword by Lawrence D. Phillips
Ch. 1	Introduction	1
Ch. 2	How people make decisions involving multiple objectives	13
Ch. 3	Decisions involving multiple objectives: SMART	31
Ch. 4	Decisions involving multiple objectives: alternatives to SMART	63
Ch. 5	Introduction to probability	93
Ch. 6	Decision-making under uncertainty	115
Ch. 7	Decision trees and influence diagrams	157
Ch. 8	Applying simulation to decision problems	183
Ch. 9	Revising judgments in the light of new information	213
Ch. 10	Heuristics and biases in probability assessment	237
Ch. 11	Methods for eliciting probabilities	267
Ch. 12	Risk and uncertainty management	289
Ch. 13	Decisions involving groups of individuals	301
Ch. 14	Resource allocation and negotiation problems	325
Ch. 15	Decision framing and cognitive inertia	349
Ch. 16	Scenario planning: an alternative way of dealing with uncertainty	369
Ch. 17	Alternative decision-support systems and conclusions	407
	Suggested answers to selected questions	439
	Index	445

Axess
Taksit	Taksit Tutarı	Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim	-	1366.37 TL
2 ay	720.76 TL	1441.52 TL
3 ay	485.06 TL	1455.19 TL
6 ay	251.64 TL	1509.84 TL
9 ay	173.83 TL	1564.50 TL
12 ay	134.93 TL	1619.15 TL

cardFinans
Taksit	Taksit Tutarı	Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim	-	1366.37 TL
2 ay	720.76 TL	1441.52 TL
3 ay	485.06 TL	1455.19 TL
6 ay	251.64 TL	1509.84 TL
9 ay	173.83 TL	1564.50 TL
12 ay	134.93 TL	1619.15 TL

Bonus
Taksit	Taksit Tutarı	Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim	-	1366.37 TL
2 ay	720.76 TL	1441.52 TL
3 ay	485.06 TL	1455.19 TL
6 ay	251.64 TL	1509.84 TL
9 ay	173.83 TL	1564.50 TL
12 ay	134.93 TL	1619.15 TL

World
Taksit	Taksit Tutarı	Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim	-	1366.37 TL
2 ay	720.76 TL	1441.52 TL
3 ay	485.06 TL	1455.19 TL
6 ay	251.64 TL	1509.84 TL
9 ay	173.83 TL	1564.50 TL
12 ay	134.93 TL	1619.15 TL

Maximum
Taksit	Taksit Tutarı	Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim	-	1366.37 TL
2 ay	720.76 TL	1441.52 TL
3 ay	485.06 TL	1455.19 TL
6 ay	251.64 TL	1509.84 TL
9 ay	173.83 TL	1564.50 TL
12 ay	134.93 TL	1619.15 TL

Paraf
Taksit	Taksit Tutarı	Toplam Tutar
Tek çekim	-	1366.37 TL
2 ay	720.76 TL	1441.52 TL
3 ay	485.06 TL	1455.19 TL
6 ay	251.64 TL	1509.84 TL
9 ay	173.83 TL	1564.50 TL
12 ay	134.93 TL	1619.15 TL